Net 30 Blog | Business Credit Tips & Advice » SBI

Small businesses paying bills faster. A sign of confidence?

Alex Coté — Mon, 14 Dec 2009 09:41:23 +0000

Today, we published our latest report of small business payment activities (see chart below). After witnessing a growing gap between the payment habits of large and small businesses – as recently as a month ago small businesses payments languished at a 38 percent higher days beyond terms (DBT) than big businesses, who had since returned to pre-recession norms – November data show a remarkable improvement for Main Street shops. Such improvement in paying behavior is typically a sign of confidence, as business owners feel more comfortable in doling out working capital with the expectation of replenishing cash via new business. But the latest survey results from the NFIB make it pretty clear that after months of a more optimistic outlook, small business confidence is once again starting to wane. Adding cold water to the fire is another poll from CNN/Opinion Research Corp., released last week, that revealed consumer confidence in the economy starting to fade. Such data tends to poke some major holes in the confidence theory.

So if confidence is not behind the improving payment behavior, what exactly IS driving down delinquencies? While it’s hard to point to a specific answer in the data – and while one month hardly constitutes a sustainable trend – here are a few possible contributing factors:

Deadbeat Darwinism: We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again. The best way to ensure timely payments is to report, proactively deal with, and do the proper reference checks to avoid deadbeat clients and partners. With growing sensitivities to such risks and forums like our own Cortera Credit Exchange, which make it easy to ‘out’ such delinquents, small businesses may taking the necessary steps to avoid such problems. Serial deadbeats and companies in trouble are therefore less and less likely to be mucking up the system.
Past due debt off the books: Another flavor of deadbeat Darwinism, but this one at the tail end of the cycle. With little or no hope of recovery long outstanding debt – overdue bills – well past 90 days DBT, many businesses simply write it off. Thus, this delinquency data is no longer weighing on the average.
Improved credit management: Perhaps business owners are more sensitive to increasingly stringent lending conditions – and how business credit reports are built – given the notoriously risk adverse position and tight lending habits of banks these days. Maybe they’ve taken our advice and realized that the best way to self manage working capital in the absence of abundant credit availability is to ensure that they and their partners all pay their bills in a timely manner, thus optimizing cash flow throughout the entire system. Regardless of the reason, we may be witnessing an increasing emphasis on better credit management habits for Main Street.

As always, another month’s worth of data will go a long way toward sorting this out. But in the meantime, what do you think is contributing to a sudden improvement in timely payments? We’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas.

The Main Street Credit Squeeze Continues

Alex Coté — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 14:46:23 +0000

The S&P is up over 50% since its March 2009 lows and yet for most of us, the leading indicators and large company earnings seem to defy the reality on Main Street. Newsweek offered a view on why such a gap may exist – and some indicators are emerging to focus on small business sentiment — but the fact remains that most prominent economic indicators fail to paint a true view of Main Street conditions. Last month we started publishing a small business index that takes a shot at filling the gap. Based on same criteria lenders and businesses use for determining credit viability, the SBI provides a view into the cash flow on Main Street. And just as Newsweek paints the picture of the Wall Street – Main St gap, the Cortera SBI™ shows increasingly divergent behaviors between the largest of businesses and the nation’s millions of small companies.

The result is a one sided recovery. The latest data shows that while big businesses have returned to their pre-recession levels of two years ago, small business still remain over 28% higher (paying bills later) than our October ’07 report numbers. Simply put, small businesses are still paying slower than big businesses in an effort to manage their cash flow. Without any additional forms of lending at their disposal, slowing payments is their last resort. The gap, while narrowing slightly in our October Report, still stands at over 38% slower for small businesses as compared to big businesses.

Small Businesses Getting Squeezed from Both Ends

Jim Swift — Tue, 13 Oct 2009 13:05:08 +0000

A few weeks ago, The Wall Street Journal explained how small companies are getting paid more slowly by their large company customers while those same large companies are forcing the little guys to pay faster. Well, Cortera’s data is showing that the little guys are getting paid more slowly by their small business customers, too.

Our Small Business Index (SBI) shows that while small businesses (companies with less than 500 employees – the SBA definition) are improving, but they’re paying 25% slower than a year ago and 20% slower than the overall business average. It is also important to note the widening gap between big companies and small companies. Pre-recession, the measures for the average, small and big companies tracked in a tight range, but since late 2008 we’ve seen a significant gap open up. Small businesses have a 55% higher DBT than large companies.

This is a dangerous situation for small businesses and a bad trend for the economy as a whole. When the payment flow between small businesses slows, the resulting friction impedes their ability to plan, grow and sometimes even survive.